Recent fertility trends and second birth decision-making in Georgia

Working paper n°: 23

Author(s): Nicoletta Balbo

Year: 2009

Since the Soviet Union's collapse, Georgia has undergone profound socio-political and demographic changes. This paper examines recent fertility trends in Georgia using GGS data from 2006. Results show that the postponement of first birth does not significantly account for the decline in childbearing, suggesting that decline is primarily due to a reduction of second-order births. I then investigate determinants of intentions to have a second child in three different periods: now, within three years and ever. Findings reveal that household income, education level and psychological well-being of the respondents as well as their satisfaction concerning the division of tasks within the couple have a significant effect on second birth decision-making. However, these determinants differ significantly regarding the timing of the intended child. On the other hand, there seems to be no effect of ideational changes, represented by a measure of the spread of post-materialist values within the society, on fertility intentions.

Nicoletta Balbo

Universita Bocconi, Dondena Centre for Research on Social Dynamics




Keywords: fertility intentions; fertility decline; Georgia, GGS data


Download: The paper may be downloaded here.

Last updated 16 July 2015 - 17:19:20